Published Friday, May 22, 2020

U.S. company and Costa Rican engineers develop predictive
behavior models for covid-19

By the A.M. Costa Rica staff

Engineers of Intel Costa Rica work together with professionals of Social Security to develop predictive mathematical and statistical models for managing the covid-19 outbreak, announced the U.S. corporation on Thursday.

The pandemic poses an unprecedented situation where data-based decision-making has become an important tool for management and decision-making to mitigate future effects on health services and the Costa Rican society, said the company in its statement.

“At Intel Costa Rica we are committed to helping the country against the covid-19 outbreak, so our engineers are contributing their experience and knowledge to developing, together with the Social Security statistical and mathematical models to generate key inputs for decision making,” said Timothy Scott Hall, Intel Costa Rica’s government affairs and public relations manager.

These models encompass general statistical data, such as prediction of the curve of the number of total cases and the number of confirmed cases for the entire country, as well as more granular models for estimating the effect by geographical region, age, sex, and other relevant demographics. The goal is to give Social Security a tool that can monitor the situation in real-time and provide detailed information by relevant demographic and geographical segments to facilitate timely intervention.

According to Roberto Cervantes- Barrantes, Social Security general manager, the importance of these partnerships for strengthening institutional knowledge management, bringing together the health and data management experience of the institute’s technical teams with the data science techniques that are applied today in other latitudes and used as analysis tools by large companies such as Intel.

Cervantes explained that given the situation faced by the country due to covid-19, Social Security crucially needs new information and data that can help it make decisions and adapt its services or allocate its resources to the different care levels and centers as needed.

“Intel is one of the world’s largest tech companies, and by joining us in this project it will build our technical capacity to react against covid-19," said Cervantes. "At times like this, public institutions and private companies need to work as a team toward the same goal, which is to combat this pandemic to the benefit of the country.”

The institute’s obligation to safeguard confidential information, so data access platforms and data should be deployed very simply, making sure the data is always statistical and there can be no identification of the identities and sensitive data of users, in this case, those affected by covid-19.

This technical support from Intel Costa Rica is part of a recent donation of face masks for medical staff and other efforts to be specified in the upcoming days. 

This is the second donation made by Intel this month.

On May 12, the California-based Intel, with the support of the Intel Foundation, donated $70,000 to the National Emergency Commission.

This donation was supported by the Intel Corporation, which also plans to distribute similar aid in other countries where it maintains a significant presence.

The donation to the Commission will be distributed via the Business Development Alliance, AED.

Intel Costa Rica also donated 16,000 surgical masks and 1,500 N95 masks to the Social Security, for the protection of health personnel at various medical centers throughout the country.

In April, Intel donated 6,000 protective face masks for employees of the Social Security Institute.

In January the firm also donated $1 million to the International Red Cross to support global aid efforts for this pandemic.

What other international top companies should donate to health workers facing the pandemic?   We would like to know your thoughts on this story. Send your comments to